Kröger, Wolfgang, Prof. Dr.

ETH Zürich Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Kröger Risk Center SEC D2 Scheuchzerstrasse 7 8092 Zurich Phone: +41 44 632 64 18 Fax: +41 44 632 10 94 E-Mail:

Selected News / Response in the Media

• Wolfgang Kröger takes part as a panelist in the PSAM Topical Conference 2013 "Fukushima"
• Interview: Risiken sind Gefahren und Chancen, @KPMG's Audit Committee Institute.
• Presentation "From Business Continuity to Business Resilience: Complex Technical Systems in Analogy" @Council on Strategic Risk Management, Zurich, 2012 [.pdf]
• Keynote Speech "Fukushima: Need for Reappraisal of Nuclear Risks?" @SRA-Europe 21st Annual Conference, Zurich, 2012 [.pdf]
• Presentation "Complex Technological Networks: Addressing Interdependencies" @Intl. Conference on Network Science, Budapest, 2012 [.pdf]
• Presentation "Basic Safety Issues and Behavior of Complex Systems; Future Education of Engineers" @19th CAETS Convocation, Mexico City, 2011 [.pdf]

Employment

Education

Main Activities

• Providing methods and data suitable to model, analyze/simulate and optimize complex engineered systems/critical infrastructures in the energy, transportation and ICT domain, and interdependencies among them, regarding reliability/availability, risk and vulnerability.
• Developing a framework for comprehensive risk and vulnerability analysis and related management strategies as well as tools for decision making processes.
• Putting the understanding and management of technological transborder risks into a broader context and promoting international activities such as the International Risk Governance Council following a trans-sectorial and multi-disciplinary approach. Supporting the establishment of the ETH Risk Center and its outreach activities including a research program on Future Resilient Systems in Singapore.
• Giving advice to governmental and private organizations, in particular on energy assessment and policy issues and nuclear safety matters.
• Most recent publications address vulnerability analysis of engineered critical infrastructures (book journals) as well as security of energy supply and the role of nuclear power (contributions to books).

Committees and Memberships

• Member of Advisory Board, Munich Center for Technology in Society, TU Munich (2012 - ), and Nuclear Institutes, RWTH Aachen.
• Safety Review Group of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD/NSA), London; Chairman (on hold).
• Member of the Board (Vice-Chairman, until 2010), Chairman of the Advisory Board, International Risk Governance Council (IRGC) (until early 2012), Geneva.
• Member of Scientific Directorate, Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik (DGAP), Berlin ( - 2012).
• Editorial Board of the Journal of Risk Research, the International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, the Planet@Risk.
• Individual Member of Swiss Academy of Engineering Sciences (SATW); leader topical platform 'risk'.
• Member of Scientists Council of Europäische Akademie.
• OECD/NEA Committee on the Safety of Nuclear Installations (CSNI), Paris; Vice-Chairman (until mid 2003).
• International Nuclear Technology Commission (ILK) Baden-Wuerttemberg, Bavaria, Hessen (resignation mid 2007).
• Member of EC ad hoc Advisory Group "Energy Roadmap 2050" (2011).
• Member of the ENEF WG "opportunity", Prague/Bratislava.
• Member of Technical Review Committee, autonomous Japan Nuclear Safety Institute, Japan (2013 - ).

Awards

• OECD/NEA News prize 2001
• Honorary member of SGK 2004
• Short-term Fellowship TU Munich, Institute of Advanced Studies (IAS) 2011
• Distinguished Affiliated Professor TU Munich 2011

Selected Books

• Streffer, C., Gethmann, C.F., Kamp, G., Kröger, W., Rehbinder, E., Renn, O., Radioactive Waste, ISBN 978-3-642-22924-4, 2012
• Kröger W., Zio E., Vulnerable Systems, Springer, ISBN 978-0-85729-654-2, 2011

I. Articles in Journals / Contributions to Books (after 2006)

• D. Sornette, T. Maillart and W. Kröger. Exploring the limits of safety analysis in complex technological systems. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2013 (accepted)
• C. Nan, I. Eusgeld & W. Kröger. Analyzing Vulnerabilities between SCADA System and SUC due to Interdependencies, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 113, 76-93, 2013
• C. Nan, I. Eusgeld & W. Kröger. Hidden Vulnerabilities due to Interdependencies between SCADA and SUC, CRITIS 2012, LNCS:Springer-Verlag, in press, 2013.
• Bilis E.I., Kröger W., Performance of Electric Power Systems under Physical Malicious Attacks, IEEE Systems Journal, accepted, 2013.
• D. Al-Khudhairy, et. al., Towards integrative risk management and more resilient societies, The European Physical Journal Special Topics, Volume 214, Issue 1, pp 571-595, 2012.
• Nan C, Eusgeld I & Kröger W. Hidden Vulnerabilities due to Interdependencies between SCADA and SUC, CRITIS 2012, LNCS:Springer-Verlag (in press), 2013.
• Michel Heng, Keith W. Hipel, Liping Fang, Ana Maria Cruz, Wolfgang Kröger, T. F. Fwa, Norio Okada, Governing Global Critical Infrastructure Systems, Journal of Infrastructure Systems (submitted), 2010
• Kröger W., An overview of Swiss research on vulnerability of critical infrastructure, acatech, Germany, ISBN 978-3-642-18218-1, 2011
• Kröger W., Energie aus Kernspaltung: Chancen und Wagnis, in "Energy", Hrsg. Rudolf von Rohr, P., Walde, P., Batlogg, B., vdf Hochschulverlag AG, 2009, ISBN 978-3-7281-3219-2
• Kaegi M., Mock R., Kröger W., Analyzing Maintenance Strategies by Agent-based Simulations: A Feasibility Study, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier 94(9), pp. 2277-84, 2009
• Eusgeld I., Kröger W., Sansavini G., Schläpfer M., Zio E., The Role of Network Theory and Object-oriented Modeling within a Framework for the Vulnerability Analysis of Critical Infrastructures, in Journal Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, Elsevier, 94(5), pp.954-63, 2009
• Kröger W., Critical Infrastructures at Risk, A Need for a New Conceptual Approach and Extended Analytical Tools, in Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Elsevier, 93(12), 2008
• Kröger W., Global Risk Governance im Energiebereich, Internationale Politik 2005-2006, S.292-96, in Jahrbücher des Forschungsinstituts der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, Band 27, Hrsg. Braml J., et al., Oldenbourg, München, 2008, ISBN 978-3-486-58342-7
• Kröger W., Technische Risiken, in Risk Management, Erfolgreicher Umgang mit zentralen Unternehmensrisiken, Hrsg. Boutellier R., Montagne E., Verlag SKU, Zurich, 2008, ISBN 978-3-033-01655-2
• IRGC (lead author Kröger W.), Managing and Reducing Social Vulnerabilities from Coupled Critical Infrastructures, IRGC, White Paper 3, October 2006
• Kröger W., Reflections on Current and Future Nuclear Safety, atw, Vol. 51, 07/2006
  Kröger W., Critical Infrastructures at Risk: Securing Electric Power Supply, International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, 2006, No.2/3, pp. 273-93

II. Contributions to Academic Conferences (after 2006)

• Kröger W., "Roles and Responsibilities in Managing Energy-related Risks and Uncertainties", 20th Conference FORUM ENGELBERG, Scientific Conference Report, Switzerland, September, 2012
• Nan C, Eusgeld I& Kröger W. Assessing CI Interdependency Issues using an HLA-compliant Simulation Platform, PSAM 11 & ESREL 2012, 25-29 June, Helsinki, Finland, 2012
• Nan C, Eusgeld I& Kröger W. Exploring Impacts of Single Failure Propagation between SCADA and SUC, IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM) 2011, Singapore, 2011
• Nan C., Kröger W., Probst P. Exploring Critical Infrastructure Interdependency by Hybrid Simulation Approach, ESREL 2011, 18-22 September, France, 2011
• Nan C and Kröger W. A New Modeling Approach for Resolving CI Interdependency Issues. Proc. 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP 11), 1-4 August, Zurich, 2011
• Raschke M., Bilis E. I., Kröger W. Vulnerability of the Swiss electric power transmission grid against natural hazards. Proc. 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP 11), 1-4 August, Zurich, 2011
• Zhou L., Kröger W. and Mock R., Framing Vulnerability Analysis of Critical Infrastructure Regarding Information Security, Proc. ESREL 2010, 5-9 September, Greece, Rhodes, 2010
• Bilis E. I., Raschke M. and Kröger W., Seismic Response of the Swiss Transmission Grid, Proc. ESREL 2010, 5-9 September, Greece, Rhodes, 2010
• Nussbaumer O., Kröger W., and Zio E., Analytical Solutions of Large Fault Tree Models using BDD: New Techniques and Applications, Proc. PSAM10, 7-11 June, USA, Seattle, 2010
• Chawla R., Ansermet J.P., Cavedon J.M., Hirt P., Kröger W., Prasser H.M., Tran Q. M., The Swiss Master in Nuclear Engineering: A Collaboration between Universities, Research Centre and Industry, Proc. ICONE18, 17-21 May, China, Xi'ian, 2010
• Kröger W., Probst P., Coping with Vulnerabilities of Interconnected Critical Infrastructures, Proc. PSAM10, 7-11 June, USA, Seattle, 2010
• Wagner S., Eusgeld I., Kröger W., Guaglio G., Balancing Safety and Availability for an Electronic Protection System, Proc. ESREL, 22-25 September, Spain, Valencia, 2008
• Eusgeld I., Kröger W., Vulnerability Analysis of Interdependent Critical Infrastructures within a Governance Process: A Methodical Framework (abstract), Proc. International Disaster and Risk Conference, Switzerland, Davos, August 25-29, 2008
• Schläpfer M., Kessler T., Kröger W., Reliability Analysis of Electric Power Systems Using an Object-oriented Hybrid Modeling Approach”, Proc. 16th Power Systems Computation Conference, 14-18 July, UK, Glasgow, 2008
• Kröger W., Handling Risks in the Electric Power Sector, Proc.PSAM9, May 18-23, Hong Kong, pp. 93-99, 2008
• Eusgeld I., Kröger W., Comparative Evaluation of Modeling and Simulation Technique for Interdependent Critical Infrastructures, Proc. PSAM9, May 18-23, Hong Kong, pp. 49-57, 2008
• Eusgeld I., Kröger W., Towards a Framework for Vulnerability Analysis of Interconnected Infrastructures, Proc. PSAM9, May 18-23, Hong Kong, pp. 107-16, 2008
• Kröger W., Issues of Energy Security, Proc. Latsis Symposium, Switzerland, Zurich, October 2006

III. Other (after 2006)

• Kröger W., "Risk and Vulnerability of Large-Scale Technical Systems | Challenges and Achievements", Festakt, TU München, Germany, 28 November, 2012
• Kröger W., "Safety Performance Indicators |Learning from Others", SASCON 2012, Olten, Switzerland, 14 November, 2012
• Kröger W., "Fukushima: Need for Reappraisal of Nuclear Risks?", Keynote SRA-Europe 21st Annual Conference, Zurich, Switzerland, 20 June, 2012
• Kröger W & Nan C., "Dealing with Complexity and Interdependencies: Advanced Modeling/Simulation Approaches", 507.Wilhelm und Else Heraeus-Seminar, Jacobs University Bremen, Germany, 19 June, 2012
• Kröger W.,"Characteristics of Large-scale Technical Networks and Challenges to Analysis Methods", 507.Wilhelm und Else Heraeus-Seminar, Jacobs University Bremen, Germany, 18 June, 2012
• Kröger W.,"Modeling Interdependencies within and among Complex Technological Networks", TUM-IAS, General Assembly, Munich, Germany, April, 2012
• Kröger W.,"A Hybrid Approach for Modeling/Simulating CI Interdependencies", BMBF Innovationsforum, Berlin, Germany, April, 2012
• Kröger W.,"Risikoherausforderungen aus Sicht derForschung / Wissenschaft", Ausbildungstag, Schweizer Armee-Armeestab, Bern, 30 November, 2011
• Kröger W.,"Towards Reconstruction and RebirthWorking Group 2: Nuclear Energy GovernanceReflections after Fukushima Dai-ichi from a Swiss perspective", 4th International Tokyo Colloquium, Japan, 5 October, 2011
• Kröger W.,"Offene und verdeckte Verletzlichkeiten,erkennbare Trends, z.B. Smart Grids", TA Swiss-LA Klausurtagung, Bern, 7 September, 2011
• Kröger W.,"Complex Technological Networks: Addressing Interdependencies", NetONets 2011, Budapest, June, 2011
• Kröger W.,"Verletzbarkeit von Strom-versorgungssystemen", DEGAS – THW Symposium, Berlin, Germany, 16 May, 2011
• Kröger W.,"Kritische Infrastrukturen: Fakten und Trends im Bereich der Stromversorgung und industrieller Kontrollsysteme", Norman Security Round Table, Zürich, 26 May, 2011
• Kröger W.,"Komplexe technische Systeme: Stand des Wissens und der Analysierbarkeit", Symposium Deutsches Museum München, 18.Nov, 2010
• Kröger W.,"Kritische Infrastrukturen: Fakten und Trends im Bereich Strom-versorgung und Information", SSI-Fachtagung, 28 October, 2010
• Kröger W & Zhou L.,"Security Issues in Electric Power and TransportInfrastructure and Respective Control Systems", Security Conference, Zurich, 7 September, 2010
• Kröger W & Probst P.,"Risk and Reward – Dealing with Uncertainty Risk Governance: Proactive-preventive versus reactive-mitigative ", 19th Annual Conference FORUM ENGELBERG, Geneva, August 2010
• Kröger W.,"Handling Vulnerability of Critical Energy Infrastructure: A Science-based Approach", EAPC Seminar on „Energy Security and Critical Infrastructure Protection“, Tbilisi, May, 2010
• Kröger W.,"Challenges to Governance of Global Critical Infrastructures", EAPC Seminar, Singapore, May, 2010.
• Kröger W.,"Interdependencies within and between critical infrastructures: Governing social vulnerabilities", Seminar at Central Research Institute of Power Industry (CRIEPI), Tokyo, 27 May, 2009
• Kröger W., "Towards Disaster Risk Governance", Research Seminar on Global Critical Infrastructure Systems, Kyoto Research Park Corp, Japan, 6-7 June, 2009
• Kröger W., Roundtable on Technical Aspects of Nuclear Energy, Singapore, 25-27 February, 2009
• Kröger W., EAPC Seminar on Energy Security Through Security Development of Cooperation; Addressing Energy Security with emphasis on Networks and Infrastructures fron a Western Technical Perspective; Yerevan, 2-3 October, 2009
• Kröger W., Was heisst Versorungssicherheit? ElCom Workshop, 7 Oct, 2008
• M. Schläpfer, T. Kessler, W. Kröger: "Simulation komplexer Störungsabläufe", Bulletin SEV/AES, Nr. 6, S.21-25, 2008
• Kröger W., Threats and challenges in protecting critical infrastructures from terrorist attack - conclusions from scientific risk and vulnerability assessments, speech held at the OCEEA-ATU Expert Meeting, Vienna, 17 July, 2008
• Kröger W. (and Dietz S.), Interdependencies among Technical Systems: the Why, What and How, Keynote speech, PSAM9, Hong Kong, 23 May, 2008
• Kröger W., Risiken, Risikobewertungen und Schutz kritischer Infrastrukturen, Vortrag anläslich der Geschäftsleitungs-Klausur des Bundesamtes für Energie, 30 Nov, 2007
• Kröger W., Risk Governance Framework, Speech, Plenary Session V of the 5th EAP/PfP Workshop, Zurich, 3 Oct, 2007
• Kröger W., Nachhaltige Energieversorgung - mit Kernenergie, Vortrag, 50-jähriges Jubiläum, Schweizer Pool für die Versicherung von Nuklearrisiken, Bern, 18 June, 2007
• Kröger W., Research for a Secure Europe; Security, Innovation, Technology, European Conference on Security Research, Berlin, 26-27 March, 2007
• Kröger W., Global Cooperation for Risk Governance, 6th International Seminar Disaster Prevention Cooperation, Seoul, 27 Oct, 2006
• Kröger W., Critical Infrastructures at Risk: A Need for a New Conceptual Approach and Extended Analytical Tools, Keynote speech ESREL 2006, Estoril, 18 Sept, 2006
• Kröger W., Coupled Critical Infrastructures at Risk: Strategies and Policy Options to Promote Protection, International Disaster Reduction Conference, Davos, 29 Aug, 2006
• Kröger W., Probabilistische Sicherheits- und Risikoermittlung, 15. Fachgespräch TÜV Pfalz, Bad Dürkheim, 21 June, 2006
• Kröger W., Protecting Coupled Critical Infrastructures: Understanding and Governing Complexity, „Complex Network and Infrastructure Protection“, CNIP 2006, Rome, 28 March, 2006
• Kröger W., Risiko: Analyse, Kontext, Entscheidungsprozesse, QRA – Quo vadis?, 44. Tutzing-Symposium, Tutzing, 13 March, 2006